{"id":5150,"date":"2011-04-14T18:44:11","date_gmt":"2011-04-14T18:44:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.aaeurop.com\/?p=5150"},"modified":"2011-04-14T18:44:11","modified_gmt":"2011-04-14T18:44:11","slug":"%d5%a1%d5%b4%d5%b0-%d6%85%d5%aa%d5%a1%d5%b6%d5%a4%d5%a1%d5%af%d5%b8%d6%82%d5%a9%d5%b5%d5%a1%d5%b4%d5%a2-%d5%a8%d5%b6%d5%a9%d5%a1%d6%81%d5%ab%d5%af-%d5%ae%d6%80%d5%a1%d5%a3%d5%ab%d6%80_______current-i","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aaeurop.com\/?p=5150","title":{"rendered":"\u0569\u0094\u0539\u055e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u009e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0082- \u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u00bb\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055d\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539)\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055c\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a\u0569\u0095\u0539.\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0562\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0532\u0569\u0095\u0539\u00a7 \u0569\u0095\u0539\u2014\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539.\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0539\u0081\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055c \u0569\u0095\u0539\u2026\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0589\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-:_______Current IMF-Supported Program :PROGRAM NOTE  Republic of Armenia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>395 \u0569\u0095\u0539\u0532\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539-\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533 \u0569\u0094\u0539\u055e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u009e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u00a0 \u0569\u0095\u0539)\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0095\u0539-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082- \u0569\u0095\u0539\u0589\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0532\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0537<br 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\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0535\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055b\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0535\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539(\u0569\u0095\u0539-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a<br \/>\n\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055b\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0537\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a\u0569\u0095\u0539.\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0562\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533:<\/p>\n<h2>Republic of Armenia<\/h2>\n<p>Three-year, US$395 million program under the Extended Fund (EFF) and Extended Credit facilities (ECF), approved by the IMF Executive Board in June 2010. With strong performance, the Board concluded the first program review in December 2010, enabling disbursement of about US$54 million.<\/p>\n<h3>Background<\/h3>\n<p>After a deep downturn in 2009, activity in Armenia is recovering, underpinned by a strong policy response and the gradual return of external flows, reflecting rebounding remittances, bank lending, and exports, helped by high mineral prices. However, the recovery has been slow and uneven, with gains in industry and services partly offset by a sharp decline in agriculture in 2010, reflecting both poor weather and underlying structural weaknesses. Recovery of the construction sector\u0569\u00a7\u0549\u0082-\u0549\u0080\u009da key driver of pre-crisis growth\u0569\u00a7\u0549\u0082-\u0549\u0080\u009dwas sluggish. Higher food prices have contributed to a run-up of headline inflation, which reached nearly 12 percent in recent months. With the economy recovering slowly and a weak external environment, important medium-term challenges have come to fore. The external current account deficit has remained at double-digit levels, the public debt ratio has almost tripled in the past two years, and poverty levels have risen as a result of the crisis.<\/p>\n<h3>Role of the Fund<\/h3>\n<p>In the first half of 2010, the authorities reformulated their economic program to give more attention to Armenia\u0569\u00a7\u0549\u0082-\u0549\u0084\u00a7s medium-term challenges. They cancelled the stand-by arrangement that had supported the response to the crisis and put in place a three-year program supported by the EFF and ECF arrangements. The program aims to achieve strong growth and poverty reduction, debt sustainability, and financial sector stability with a focus on:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Reducing the overall fiscal deficit by around 5 percentage points over the medium-term, while protecting key social expenditures;<\/li>\n<li>Implementing reforms to improve the integrity of the tax system, to cast a wider tax net, and to achieve gains in revenue administration;<\/li>\n<li>Ensuring greater exchange rate flexibility and strengthening of the monetary framework;<\/li>\n<li>Continued strengthening of financial sector supervision to maintain robust confidence in the banking system and improve its resilience to shocks; and<\/li>\n<li>Improving the business environment, enhancing competitiveness, and reducing poverty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In addition to financial support, the IMF has a wide-ranging program of technical assistance with Armenia, focused in particular on tax policy and revenue administration, expenditure policies, macroeconomic modeling and the inflation targeting framework, contingency planning in the banking sector, and statistics. In addition, the authorities have requested a full update of the Financial Sector Assessment Program report in 2011. Efforts by the IMF are coordinated with the work of other agencies, including the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the Asian Development Bank, the European Union, and bilateral partners.\u0569\u0082\u0539\u00a0<\/p>\n<h3>Progress to Date<\/h3>\n<p>Program performance has been strong, and program targets for mid-2010 were met. An IMF staff team visited Armenia in late-March\/early-April to review performance at the end of 2010. Fiscal consolidation is moving forward, ensuring that public debt remains sustainable. The Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) has maintained a flexible exchange rate while safeguarding international reserves. Credit to the economy has been picking up, driven by the recovering industry and services sectors. To address the high level of financial dollarization, the CBA has issued new prudential regulations to address currency-induced risk. Headline inflation has moved above the inflation target band due to supply shocks.<\/p>\n<h3>The Challenges Ahead<\/h3>\n<p>The key challenge is to implement fiscal and external adjustment firmly, while protecting the poor and adjusting policies as needed, should developments impede the recovery.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Armenia\u0569\u00a7\u0549\u0082-\u0549\u0084\u00a7s economic growth remains dependent on a solid and stable recovery in Russia, which in turn depends on the economic outturn in Europe and the rest of the world.<\/li>\n<li>Tax administration reforms are rightly broad and bold, but their implementation will not always be easy. Sustained political consensus is needed to increase tax collections through these reforms.<\/li>\n<li>The banking sector is sound and well-capitalized, but the crisis has increased foreign currency lending, exposing banks to indirect credit risks. The authorities are taking steps to ensure that these risks are well managed.<\/li>\n<li>While Armenia now has ample international reserves, balance of payments pressures remain. Fiscal discipline, coupled with exchange rate flexibility, will be needed to mitigate pressures, along with continued support from Armenia\u0569\u00a7\u0549\u0082-\u0549\u0084\u00a7s external donors and partners.<\/li>\n<li>Protecting the poor during this period of consolidation will be critical. To this end, the authorities have committed to improving the efficiency and targeting of social spending.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Armenia is well-placed to weather these challenges. The policy package being implemented by the authorities, combined with financial support from the IMF and other partners, should enable Armenia to restore and sustain strong economic growth, rising incomes and employment, and falling poverty.<\/p>\n<p>Last Updated: April 8, 2011<\/p>\n<p>imf.org<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>395 \u0569\u0095\u0539\u0532\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539-\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533 \u0569\u0094\u0539\u055e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u009e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u00a0 \u0569\u0095\u0539)\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0095\u0539-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082- 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title=\"\u0569\u0094\u0539\u055e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0080\u009e\u0569\u0095\u0549\u0082- \u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u00bb\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055d\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539)\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055c\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0534\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0080\u009a\u0569\u0095\u0539.\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0562\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0532\u0569\u0095\u0539\u00a7 \u0569\u0095\u0539\u2014\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0533\u0569\u0095\u0539.\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0096\u0539\u0081\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0095\u0539\u055c \u0569\u0095\u0539\u2026\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-\u0569\u0095\u0539\u2741\u0569\u0095\u0539\u0589\u0569\u0095\u0539,\u0569\u0096\u0549\u0082-:_______Current IMF-Supported Program :PROGRAM NOTE  Republic of 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